Hey guys! Last week was just an okay week for me where I probably ended up breaking even overall. It was a rough day on the bets side. I went 1-2 on the bets in the article and had a rough day on other bets. On the DFS side, it really could have been a big day. I nailed the Colts/Titans game, and Joe Mixon also had a good day. James Robinson getting hurt held me back since I had a decent amount of him. Injuries happen, though, and we must move on. I am excited for this week and ready to have a big week. Good luck, and let's go make some money!
DFS Convictions
Derek Carr (DK: 5,900)
I don't usually like to play Derek Carr, but I will hop on board this week in this good matchup against the New York Giants. For obvious reasons, this has been an interesting week for the Raiders, and I think Derek Carr comes out and has a good game. He's cheap at 5,900 and isn't projecting for very high ownership. This year, Carr has been consistent as he has scored over 20 DK points in 5 of the 7 games. The absence of Henry Ruggs leaves him with easy and cheap stacking partners in Hunter Renfrow (4,800) and Bryan Edwards (4,100), who should have increased roles now. Of course, you can also always pair him with Darren Waller (6,200). My favorite bring backs on the other side would be Devontae Booker (5,900) or Kadarius Toney (5,200). This stack should go pretty under the radar, and I am heavily considering starting my single entry GPP team with Derek Carr this week.
Nick Chubb (DK: 6,700)
Nick Chubb gets a great matchup this week at an affordable price. The Cincinnati Bengals have given up the 4th most fantasy points to running backs this year and the 5th most over the last 4 weeks. This price tag on Chubb at 6,700 really stands out, especially with Kareem Hunt on injured reserve. Last week he had 16 carries on only 50% of snaps in his first week back from injury, and he could see an increase this week. These division rivalry games can tend to get ugly, which should only benefit him. I am willing to take a chance on him at this price in this matchup at what should be low ownership.
Tyreek Hill (DK: 7,900)
Tyreek Hill will be very popular this week, maybe even the most popular receiver on the slate. Even with this, I want to have as much of him as possible. Even though the Chiefs offense has struggled, it has led to a more significant role with Tyreek Hill. They are relying on him in the short passing game and getting him the ball in space. In his last 4 games, he has had 12,13,9 and a whopping 18 targets Monday night. He also is too cheap at 7,900. It's not the best matchup for him, but it probably doesn't matter with the volume he is getting. We could see an actual explosion game out of Hill this week, and if that happens, I want to be on board. I want to get Hill in my cash and my GPP lineups this week.
Bedside Bets
Cordarralle Patterson Over 33.5 receiving yards (-120)
With Calvin Ridley out, you would think the Falcons will try and get Patterson involved more in the receiving game. Last week, Patterson and Mike Davis split snaps with them on the field together a little bit. He was their 2nd leading receiver. This week the Falcons play a tough New Orleans defense, and they should counter with quick passes, which is perfect for Patterson to hit this number. He has gone over this number in 5 of the 7 games they have played.
Bryan Edwards Over 3.5 receptions (+120)
In my opinion, this number is just too low with the new role Edwards should be in with the absence of Henry Ruggs. The Raiders should have to throw in this game. They have limited options, so Edwards should have opportunities to have 4 receptions. He has had 2 receptions in every game but has recently seen an uptick in targets and will be on the field almost every snap. At plus money, I am willing to bank on Edward's talent along with a more significant role to cash this bet.
Austin Ekeler ATD (+110)
Austin Ekeler is in an excellent spot to score a touchdown this week. He is facing an Eagles defense that has given up 9 touchdowns to running backs this season. Even though D'Andre Swift struggled in this matchup last week, I will go back to this matchup with a running back in a much better offense. The Chargers need to play well this week after struggling recently. They should rely heavily on Ekeler both through the air and on the ground, which should ultimately lead to him finding the end zone this week.
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