Sign up for the Dudesletter
Jan. 7, 2022

Week 18 DFS picks and Bets

Week 18 DFS picks and Bets

Week 18 DFS Convictions and Bedside Bets

Hey guys! I can't believe it's already the last week of the regular season, and it flew by. This will most likely be my last article of the season, and I appreciate you guys taking the time to read it every week. I will admit this hasn't been the best NFL season for me, but I still had a blast with it. So let's end this season on a great note, and as always, good luck and go make some money!

DFS Convictions 

Kyler Murray (DK: 7,400)

I really like this Cardinals-Seahawks game on DraftKings this week. It has the highest total on the Sunday slate, and both teams should be playing to win. The Cardinals need to win to give themselves at a 2 or 3 seed if the Rams lose. Even though the Seahawks are eliminated, they played well last week. I think they'll want to end the season on a strong note, especially Russell Wilson, who missed a good chunk of the season. My favorite way to get exposure to this game is through Kyler Murray stacks. Kyler looked healthier last week and has a Seahawks defense that I have picked on all year long. You can stack up Kyler with Christian Kirk (6,000) or Zach Ertz (5,300). My favorite guy on the Seahawks is DK Metcalf (6,900) and Rashaad Penny (6,500). I prefer DK, though, as the Cardinals have given up tons of fantasy points to wide receivers. This is probably my favorite game to stack up this week. Both defenses have recently given up points, and I will most likely have a Kyler stack in my single-entry team. 

Devin Singletary (DK: 6,000)

Devin Singletary is one of my favorite plays this week. He faces a Jets team that has been one of the best matchups for running backs all year long, and that doesn't change this week. Singletary has really taken control of this backfield. He has 22 and 23 carries in two of the last 3 games, and they are relying on him heavily down the stretch of this season. The Bills need to win this game to win the division, so they should use Singletary quite a bit, and Singletary should see over 20 carries. There are a ton of great running back plays this week, but he is in play for both cash and tournaments. 

Jonathan Taylor (DK: 9,300) 

Jonathan Taylor is in one of the best spots of the week against the Jaguars. The Jaguars have been pitiful on defense to end the year and have given up fantasy points in bunches to running backs. If they want to go to the playoffs, the Colts are in a must-win game, and I expect they lean on Taylor. I wouldn't be surprised if they gave him up to 30 carries this week, especially if they get up early in the game. He is expensive, but I think he is worth the price tag and could have a monster week. He is one of my main priorities this week in cash games, and I will likely try to get as much of him in tournaments as I can afford. 

 Bedside Bets

 Deebo Samuel Over 4.5 receptions (+104)

This bet is a little hairy just because Deebo Samuel has only gone over this receptions number once since week 11. Though most of those weeks were without Elijah Mitchell, they were using him more as a running back. The Rams will probably focus on stopping the run and making Trey Lance throw the football, and if Lance must throw, he should pepper Samuel. This is a must-win game for San Francisco, and I think they rely on their best playmaker and get him involved early and often. 

Josh Jacobs Over 60.5 rushing yards (-112)

The Chargers have given up the 3rd most rushing yards this season and give up over 130 rushing yards a game. The Raiders should lean on Jacobs in a game they have to win to go to the playoffs. He has gone over this number in both of his last two games, and I feel good about him being able to go over this number on Sunday night. 

If you would like to take on the Dudes in DFS 

If you missed the Thursday DFS podcast